Political analyst and former spokesperson of the Atiku Abubakar Presidential Campaign, Daniel Bwala, has dismissed any notion that former Kaduna State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai, poses a threat to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s political standing. Bwala argued that El-Rufai lacks the political strength and grassroots support necessary to challenge the current administration, stating that he even failed to secure a senatorial seat for himself.
El-Rufai’s Political Struggles
Bwala pointed out that despite El-Rufai’s prominence, he has been unable to establish himself as a formidable force in Nigerian politics outside of his tenure as governor. According to Bwala, the former Kaduna governor struggled to gain traction in electoral contests beyond the support he received from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and former President Muhammadu Buhari.
Failed Senatorial Ambition
Highlighting El-Rufai’s political setbacks, Bwala emphasized that the former governor could not even secure a senatorial seat after his tenure in office. This, he argued, is a clear indication that El-Rufai’s influence is limited and does not extend far beyond his time as governor. He believes that without Buhari’s backing, El-Rufai would not have been able to win the governorship of Kaduna State.
Buhari’s Influence on El-Rufai’s Political Career
Bwala credited El-Rufai’s electoral success as governor to the strong influence of former President Buhari, who was immensely popular in northern Nigeria. He suggested that El-Rufai rode on Buhari’s goodwill to win the governorship but does not possess the independent political structure required to challenge a figure like Tinubu.
Tinubu’s Strong Political Hold
Contrasting El-Rufai’s position with that of President Tinubu, Bwala described the latter as a master strategist with a well-established political base that extends across different regions of Nigeria. Tinubu’s influence, according to him, is built on decades of political networking, grassroots mobilization, and leadership within the APC.
Speculations of Political Crisis Within APC
There have been ongoing speculations that El-Rufai is among those working against Tinubu within the ruling party. Some political observers believe that El-Rufai’s recent actions indicate a potential fallout with the APC leadership. However, Bwala dismissed such claims, stating that El-Rufai does not have the capacity to unsettle Tinubu’s administration or challenge his authority.
Public and Political Reactions
Bwala’s statement has generated mixed reactions from political analysts and party supporters. While some agree with his assertion that El-Rufai lacks the political strength to challenge Tinubu, others believe the former governor still wields considerable influence within the northern political sphere.
El-Rufai’s Silence on Political Speculations
Despite these claims, El-Rufai has remained relatively silent on his political future. While some speculate that he may be planning a major political comeback, others believe he is taking a backseat to observe the unfolding political landscape in Nigeria.
What Lies Ahead for El-Rufai?
As Nigeria moves closer to the next general elections, the role of figures like El-Rufai in shaping the country’s political direction remains uncertain. While Bwala has downplayed his relevance, only time will tell whether El-Rufai will re-emerge as a significant player in national politics. Bwala’s remarks underscore the complex dynamics within Nigeria’s political landscape. While El-Rufai remains a notable figure, his ability to challenge Tinubu appears questionable. Whether or not he will attempt to assert himself politically in the future remains to be seen.
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